Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.265022 0.311881 0.367561 0.439450 0.531059 0.645648 0.802691
2025-02-02 0.199919 0.258157 0.336833 0.454516 0.632910 0.905828 1.383408
2025-02-09 0.161978 0.223170 0.313829 0.465578 0.730784 1.216338 2.300526
2025-02-16 0.138396 0.200386 0.299121 0.480394 0.839007 1.616399 3.859584
2025-02-23 0.120780 0.181809 0.284784 0.488892 0.938744 2.080889 6.396464
2025-03-02 0.106990 0.166207 0.270989 0.492659 1.030476 2.617274 10.629032
2025-03-09 0.095460 0.152143 0.256446 0.489611 1.105215 3.196030 17.584554
2025-03-16 0.085322 0.138794 0.240343 0.477914 1.152065 3.752402 28.421028
2025-03-23 0.079682 0.132716 0.237214 0.495322 1.296039 4.947829 62.277283
2025-03-30 0.072481 0.122628 0.223907 0.483525 1.341282 5.778867 116.649833
2025-04-06 0.067884 0.116950 0.218939 0.492156 1.467162 7.411312 330.344192
2025-04-13 0.062827 0.109708 0.209287 0.485185 1.531359 8.852547 992.190620
2025-04-20 0.059434 0.105540 0.206161 0.497175 1.692226 11.850203 12454.457813
2025-04-27 0.056828 0.102697 0.205703 0.517690 1.917970 17.013139 NaN
2025-05-04 0.054116 0.099297 0.203330 0.531694 2.132031 24.145656 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051835 0.096557 0.202134 0.549628 2.396749 36.244300 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049430 0.093263 0.198978 0.559863 2.634488 53.524804 NaN
2025-05-25 0.047027 0.089716 0.194604 0.564392 2.847597 78.436830 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044555 0.085765 0.188564 0.560755 3.002458 110.625783 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041962 0.081298 0.180507 0.546782 3.061569 143.726041 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040710 0.079862 0.180724 0.567588 3.478729 288.205668 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038504 0.075953 0.173356 0.553484 3.539160 400.979621 NaN
2025-06-29 0.037169 0.074033 0.171520 0.563801 3.893585 867.752121 NaN